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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Northern Lights Regional
Red412
876167.5
4239142.3
5903140.8
Blue117
5720125.5
6044124.8
4859136.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3872480100200300500600412117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#21
167.50.0
167.5→167.5
Auto20.6
Teleop126.8
End18.8
red by 31.5
4859
#17
136.10.3
135.8→136.1
Auto16.7
Teleop105.1
End12.8
Second
4239
#5
142.30.5
140.9→141.4
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End15.4
red by 16.8
5720
#31
125.50.4
125.1→125.5
Auto16.8
Teleop90.4
End19.3
Third
5903
#28
140.80.6
138.9→139.6
Auto16.8
Teleop107.8
End15.7
red by 16.1
6044
#7
124.80.7
124.0→124.8
Auto17.7
Teleop89.1
End18.8