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Red227
4174150.8
2227142.0
5232138.8
Blue438
2987162.4
2502151.5
2181143.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330375100200300400500600227438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4174
#18
150.81.3
148.4149.8
Auto16.8
Teleop108.8
End28.3
blue by 11.6
162.40.7
159.8160.5
Auto18.9
Teleop121.4
End22.5
Second
142.00.7
141.0141.6
Auto17.1
Teleop104.8
End23.0
blue by 9.5
151.50.7
149.1149.7
Auto23.0
Teleop107.9
End19.8
Third
5232
#43
138.81.0
137.1138.1
Auto14.4
Teleop107.6
End19.1
blue by 4.5
2181
#14
143.30.6
141.1141.7
Auto17.5
Teleop105.1
End20.6