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Red241
4656134.7
6132109.9
2861119.7
Blue414
3036110.2
4239142.3
3691130.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2362980100200400500600241414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4656
#32
134.711.7
93.0104.7
Auto15.5
Teleop101.3
End21.0
blue by 7.6
142.31.3
130.7132.0
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End15.4
Second
2861
#25
119.717.6
60.878.3
Auto20.0
Teleop88.6
End12.6
blue by 11.0
3691
#15
130.616.5
70.186.6
Auto16.8
Teleop98.6
End17.5
Third
6132
#37
109.917.3
63.080.3
Auto15.3
Teleop83.2
End15.4
blue by 0.3
3036
#49
110.212.6
85.798.3
Auto13.6
Teleop86.0
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed