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Red291
5903140.8
5653132.2
3723107.9
Blue182
4226134.3
5826139.8
3267121.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2652900100200400500291182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#28
140.816.1
73.389.4
Auto16.8
Teleop107.8
End15.7
red by 1.1
5826
#29
139.814.9
85.099.8
Auto17.8
Teleop104.2
End18.7
Second
5653
#10
132.217.0
65.782.7
Auto14.3
Teleop103.6
End14.6
blue by 2.1
4226
#27
134.316.4
70.987.3
Auto14.5
Teleop101.0
End20.3
Third
3723
#51
107.916.2
72.488.6
Auto13.1
Teleop85.3
End4.8
blue by 13.3
3267
#44
121.216.1
73.989.9
Auto13.3
Teleop94.4
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed