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Red225
4549118.3
2450102.9
2989121.0
Blue127
4624138.7
5720125.5
4506118.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2602800100200400500600225127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2989
#12
121.017.6
60.478.0
Auto16.8
Teleop91.7
End17.5
blue by 17.6
4624
#20
138.715.6
78.093.6
Auto14.3
Teleop107.6
End13.5
Second
4549
#41
118.316.7
68.585.1
Auto16.2
Teleop85.3
End18.2
blue by 7.2
5720
#31
125.517.7
59.377.0
Auto16.8
Teleop90.4
End19.3
Third
2450
#34
102.916.7
68.184.9
Auto16.5
Teleop76.4
End13.0
blue by 15.8
4506
#39
118.816.0
74.790.7
Auto15.5
Teleop92.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed