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Red320
4665118.8
4632121.5
7021159.0
Blue48
731189.5
2501130.0
6044124.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261279020040060080032048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.0100.7
178.477.7
Auto20.1
Teleop117.5
End20.5
red by 29.0
2501
#16
130.015.0
84.098.9
Auto16.5
Teleop95.9
End18.8
Second
4632
#46
121.517.1
64.581.6
Auto16.6
Teleop91.2
End14.9
blue by 3.2
124.816.8
67.183.9
Auto17.7
Teleop89.1
End18.8
Third
4665
#50
118.816.1
73.589.6
Auto17.6
Teleop89.4
End9.2
red by 29.3
7311
#57
89.511.8
89.577.7
Auto12.4
Teleop69.3
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed