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Red296
2181143.3
2227142.0
2531124.6
Blue212
3212117.3
5232138.8
706128.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295287150200250350400450296212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2181
#14
143.314.4
88.9103.3
Auto17.5
Teleop105.1
End20.6
red by 4.5
5232
#43
138.817.1
65.082.1
Auto14.4
Teleop107.6
End19.1
Second
142.015.7
77.192.8
Auto17.1
Teleop104.8
End23.0
red by 13.4
706
#48
128.612.6
105.7118.3
Auto16.8
Teleop99.9
End14.2
Third
2531
#23
124.60.6
119.4120.0
Auto15.4
Teleop88.0
End21.1
red by 7.3
3212
#30
117.317.5
61.478.9
Auto15.3
Teleop94.2
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed