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Red294
3630131.9
3926131.6
2502151.5
Blue182
2512137.0
2509129.9
6613139.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2783200100200400500600700294182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.513.8
95.0108.8
Auto23.0
Teleop107.9
End19.8
red by 12.0
6613
#24
139.613.9
94.0107.9
Auto17.5
Teleop104.6
End16.9
Second
131.915.5
79.294.7
Auto16.7
Teleop97.9
End18.7
blue by 5.1
2512
#36
137.012.8
104.2117.0
Auto19.2
Teleop100.4
End20.4
Third
3926
#11
131.615.5
78.694.1
Auto16.2
Teleop101.6
End19.9
red by 1.6
2509
#35
129.914.7
86.6101.3
Auto17.0
Teleop90.7
End23.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed