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Qual 42018 Northern Lights Regional
Red121
5541105.8
3745123.0
6758123.0
Blue281
3036110.2
670791.9
4511120.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2902540100200400500121281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3745
#33
123.016.4
71.4→87.7
Auto18.2
Teleop93.8
End10.6
red by 2.5
4511
#38
120.516.6
69.0→85.6
Auto16.5
Teleop93.6
End7.5
Second
6758
#47
123.015.3
81.1→96.4
Auto16.4
Teleop93.9
End10.4
red by 12.7
3036
#49
110.216.6
69.1→85.7
Auto13.6
Teleop86.0
End11.5
Third
5541
#54
105.816.6
69.1→85.7
Auto15.3
Teleop82.2
End8.7
red by 13.9
6707
#55
91.918.0
57.0→75.0
Auto12.2
Teleop73.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed