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Qual 32018 Northern Lights Regional
Red202
4859136.1
305491.1
5998116.7
Blue411
2987162.4
4174150.8
1259170.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663020100200400500600202411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4859
#17
136.114.6
87.1→101.7
Auto16.7
Teleop105.1
End12.8
blue by 34.7
1259
#1
170.814.7
86.2→100.9
Auto19.7
Teleop126.9
End25.1
Second
5998
#26
116.716.9
66.3→83.2
Auto17.4
Teleop90.7
End8.8
blue by 45.6
2987
#6
162.414.3
90.4→104.6
Auto18.9
Teleop121.4
End22.5
Third
3054
#58
91.116.7
68.1→84.8
Auto13.8
Teleop73.2
End5.0
blue by 59.7
4174
#18
150.816.3
72.0→88.2
Auto16.8
Teleop108.8
End28.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed