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Red240
4506118.8
731189.5
5232138.8
Blue420
4623154.3
3745123.0
2502151.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2373350100200300400500600240420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5232
#43
138.810.8
92.9103.7
Auto14.4
Teleop107.6
End19.1
blue by 15.5
154.37.1
108.8115.9
Auto17.6
Teleop113.4
End24.7
Second
4506
#39
118.87.7
101.2108.9
Auto15.5
Teleop92.2
End5.8
blue by 32.8
151.510.3
118.1128.4
Auto23.0
Teleop107.9
End19.8
Third
7311
#57
89.54.2
85.990.0
Auto12.4
Teleop69.3
End7.1
blue by 33.5
3745
#33
123.08.7
97.1105.8
Auto18.2
Teleop93.8
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed