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Qual 232018 Northern Lights Regional
Red381
7021159.0
3691130.6
4174150.8
Blue142
614786.8
4182119.7
5720125.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3321850100300400500600381142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7021
#2
159.011.6
90.8→102.4
Auto20.1
Teleop117.5
End20.5
red by 33.5
5720
#31
125.510.3
88.8→99.1
Auto16.8
Teleop90.4
End19.3
Second
4174
#18
150.89.3
101.3→110.6
Auto16.8
Teleop108.8
End28.3
red by 31.1
4182
#45
119.75.4
94.0→99.3
Auto15.4
Teleop86.2
End20.0
Third
3691
#15
130.68.9
99.1→108.0
Auto16.8
Teleop98.6
End17.5
red by 43.8
6147
#52
86.81.8
79.4→81.3
Auto12.9
Teleop66.2
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed