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Qual 242018 Northern Lights Regional
Red182
2509129.9
305491.1
2181143.3
Blue287
2177108.9
4549118.3
5826139.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2612970100200400500600182287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2181
#14
143.34.0
113.5→117.5
Auto17.5
Teleop105.1
End20.6
red by 3.5
5826
#29
139.88.8
108.2→117.0
Auto17.8
Teleop104.2
End18.7
Second
2509
#35
129.96.9
109.0→115.9
Auto17.0
Teleop90.7
End23.1
red by 11.6
4549
#41
118.38.3
93.2→101.5
Auto16.2
Teleop85.3
End18.2
Third
3054
#58
91.15.0
94.2→99.2
Auto13.8
Teleop73.2
End5.0
blue by 17.8
2177
#40
108.95.3
101.0→106.3
Auto11.5
Teleop88.3
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed