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Red220
4632121.5
2531124.6
5541105.8
Blue257
4624138.7
3723107.9
6132109.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253307100200400500600220257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2531
#23
124.61.1
120.6121.7
Auto15.4
Teleop88.0
End21.1
blue by 14.1
4624
#20
138.710.1
103.9113.9
Auto14.3
Teleop107.6
End13.5
Second
4632
#46
121.57.7
94.3102.0
Auto16.6
Teleop91.2
End14.9
red by 11.6
6132
#37
109.98.5
92.4100.9
Auto15.3
Teleop83.2
End15.4
Third
5541
#54
105.85.9
95.2101.1
Auto15.3
Teleop82.2
End8.7
blue by 2.1
3723
#51
107.97.1
100.2107.2
Auto13.1
Teleop85.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed