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Red409
2989121.0
4226134.3
2987162.4
Blue153
4665118.8
5434137.2
4511120.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238321100200400500409153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.47.5
116.3123.9
Auto18.9
Teleop121.4
End22.5
red by 25.2
5434
#13
137.29.4
113.2122.6
Auto23.5
Teleop101.9
End9.5
Second
4226
#27
134.38.1
96.7104.7
Auto14.5
Teleop101.0
End20.3
red by 13.8
4511
#38
120.510.9
98.2109.1
Auto16.5
Teleop93.6
End7.5
Third
2989
#12
121.05.2
86.791.8
Auto16.8
Teleop91.7
End17.5
red by 2.2
4665
#50
118.87.9
101.7109.5
Auto17.6
Teleop89.4
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed