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Qual 302018 Northern Lights Regional
Red162
305491.1
3036110.2
5720125.5
Blue350
4623154.3
3723107.9
2227142.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236315100200400500162350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5720
#31
125.57.9
99.1→107.0
Auto16.8
Teleop90.4
End19.3
blue by 28.8
4623
#3
154.36.1
115.9→121.9
Auto17.6
Teleop113.4
End24.7
Second
3036
#49
110.25.8
108.2→113.9
Auto13.6
Teleop86.0
End11.5
blue by 31.8
2227
#9
142.06.8
110.8→117.7
Auto17.1
Teleop104.8
End23.0
Third
3054
#58
91.11.1
99.2→100.3
Auto13.8
Teleop73.2
End5.0
blue by 16.8
3723
#51
107.94.1
107.2→111.3
Auto13.1
Teleop85.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed