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Qual 362018 Northern Lights Regional
Red189
4632121.5
3630131.9
4656134.7
Blue286
2502151.5
4511120.5
5903140.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264320100200400500189286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4656
#32
134.77.7
113.0→120.7
Auto15.5
Teleop101.3
End21.0
blue by 16.8
2502
#4
151.58.3
128.4→136.7
Auto23.0
Teleop107.9
End19.8
Second
3630
#8
131.93.3
115.1→118.4
Auto16.7
Teleop97.9
End18.7
blue by 8.9
5903
#28
140.87.6
110.6→118.2
Auto16.8
Teleop107.8
End15.7
Third
4632
#46
121.54.6
102.0→106.6
Auto16.6
Teleop91.2
End14.9
red by 1.0
4511
#38
120.55.2
109.1→114.3
Auto16.5
Teleop93.6
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed