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Qual 372018 Northern Lights Regional
Red349
5434137.2
4506118.8
2531124.6
Blue136
5998116.7
3691130.6
604585.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192450100200400500349136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5434
#13
137.24.2
122.6→126.8
Auto23.5
Teleop101.9
End9.5
red by 6.5
3691
#15
130.68.7
108.0→116.7
Auto16.8
Teleop98.6
End17.5
Second
2531
#23
124.60.7
121.7→122.4
Auto15.4
Teleop88.0
End21.1
red by 7.8
5998
#26
116.75.3
98.6→103.9
Auto17.4
Teleop90.7
End8.8
Third
4506
#39
118.85.9
108.9→114.8
Auto15.5
Teleop92.2
End5.8
red by 33.7
6045
#56
85.11.4
88.8→90.2
Auto12.0
Teleop69.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed