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Red382
876167.5
3212117.3
2861119.7
Blue294
4549118.3
2509129.9
4174150.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311286100200400500382294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#21
167.51.1
171.6170.5
Auto20.6
Teleop126.8
End18.8
red by 16.7
4174
#18
150.89.0
110.6119.6
Auto16.8
Teleop108.8
End28.3
Second
2861
#25
119.76.5
98.6105.1
Auto20.0
Teleop88.6
End12.6
blue by 10.3
2509
#35
129.92.4
115.9118.3
Auto17.0
Teleop90.7
End23.1
Third
3212
#30
117.37.0
96.8103.8
Auto15.3
Teleop94.2
End9.2
blue by 1.1
4549
#41
118.35.3
101.5106.8
Auto16.2
Teleop85.3
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned