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Qual 392018 Northern Lights Regional
Red250
4182119.7
4665118.8
6758123.0
Blue346
5653132.2
3745123.0
706128.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723040100200400500600250346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6758
#47
123.05.2
114.3→119.5
Auto16.4
Teleop93.9
End10.4
blue by 9.3
5653
#10
132.26.1
100.1→106.1
Auto14.3
Teleop103.6
End14.6
Second
4182
#45
119.74.5
99.3→103.8
Auto15.4
Teleop86.2
End20.0
blue by 8.9
706
#48
128.62.7
132.5→129.7
Auto16.8
Teleop99.9
End14.2
Third
4665
#50
118.83.3
109.5→112.8
Auto17.6
Teleop89.4
End9.2
blue by 4.2
3745
#33
123.07.1
105.8→112.9
Auto18.2
Teleop93.8
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed