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Red185
4511120.5
731189.5
4656134.7
Blue369
6044124.8
5720125.5
2181143.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283265150200250300350400185369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4656
#32
134.74.4
120.7125.1
Auto15.5
Teleop101.3
End21.0
blue by 8.6
2181
#14
143.31.2
118.0119.2
Auto17.5
Teleop105.1
End20.6
Second
4511
#38
120.53.8
114.3118.1
Auto16.5
Teleop93.6
End7.5
blue by 5.0
5720
#31
125.54.4
107.0111.5
Auto16.8
Teleop90.4
End19.3
Third
7311
#57
89.52.1
93.795.8
Auto12.4
Teleop69.3
End7.1
blue by 35.2
124.83.0
103.2106.1
Auto17.7
Teleop89.1
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned