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Red132
4239142.3
2450102.9
5434137.2
Blue326
1259170.8
5826139.8
3630131.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2972930100200400500600700132326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.31.5
136.1137.6
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End15.4
blue by 28.4
170.88.0
134.1142.1
Auto19.7
Teleop126.9
End25.1
Second
5434
#13
137.23.9
126.8130.7
Auto23.5
Teleop101.9
End9.5
blue by 2.6
5826
#29
139.82.5
122.7125.2
Auto17.8
Teleop104.2
End18.7
Third
2450
#34
102.93.0
105.4108.3
Auto16.5
Teleop76.4
End13.0
blue by 29.0
131.91.5
118.4119.9
Auto16.7
Teleop97.9
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed