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Red367
5998116.7
4623154.3
4174150.8
Blue316
2501130.0
2177108.9
5903140.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309261100200400500367316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.36.3
121.9128.2
Auto17.6
Teleop113.4
End24.7
red by 13.5
5903
#28
140.85.4
118.2123.6
Auto16.8
Teleop107.8
End15.7
Second
4174
#18
150.87.6
119.6127.1
Auto16.8
Teleop108.8
End28.3
red by 20.8
2501
#16
130.00.4
109.4109.8
Auto16.5
Teleop95.9
End18.8
Third
5998
#26
116.72.3
103.9106.2
Auto17.4
Teleop90.7
End8.8
red by 7.9
2177
#40
108.91.6
109.6108.0
Auto11.5
Teleop88.3
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed