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Qual 452018 Northern Lights Regional
Red242
4506118.8
7021159.0
6132109.9
Blue140
681994.3
2987162.4
670791.9
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3352050100300400500600242140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7021
#2
159.010.8
113.0→123.8
Auto20.1
Teleop117.5
End20.5
blue by 3.4
2987
#6
162.47.4
133.6→140.9
Auto18.9
Teleop121.4
End22.5
Second
4506
#39
118.85.0
114.8→119.8
Auto15.5
Teleop92.2
End5.8
red by 24.4
6819
#42
94.30.2
89.2→89.0
Auto15.8
Teleop75.5
End4.4
Third
6132
#37
109.92.1
106.0→108.0
Auto15.3
Teleop83.2
End15.4
red by 18.0
6707
#55
91.92.2
98.9→96.7
Auto12.2
Teleop73.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed