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Red148
3745123.0
3212117.3
329795.6
Blue321
4226134.3
4624138.7
3926131.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2363180100200400500148321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3745
#33
123.06.3
112.9119.2
Auto18.2
Teleop93.8
End10.6
blue by 15.7
4624
#20
138.75.3
120.1125.4
Auto14.3
Teleop107.6
End13.5
Second
3212
#30
117.36.2
103.8110.0
Auto15.3
Teleop94.2
End9.2
blue by 17.1
4226
#27
134.35.0
114.6119.6
Auto14.5
Teleop101.0
End20.3
Third
3297
#53
95.62.4
93.495.8
Auto12.5
Teleop75.3
End8.5
blue by 36.0
3926
#11
131.63.4
110.5113.8
Auto16.2
Teleop101.6
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed