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Red350
5720125.5
1259170.8
2989121.0
Blue163
6132109.9
706128.6
5903140.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338261100200300400500600350163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.86.9
142.1149.0
Auto19.7
Teleop126.9
End25.1
red by 29.9
5903
#28
140.85.9
123.6129.5
Auto16.8
Teleop107.8
End15.7
Second
5720
#31
125.55.9
111.5117.3
Auto16.8
Teleop90.4
End19.3
blue by 3.1
706
#48
128.60.2
129.7129.5
Auto16.8
Teleop99.9
End14.2
Third
2989
#12
121.04.5
108.7113.2
Auto16.8
Teleop91.7
End17.5
red by 11.1
6132
#37
109.90.8
108.0108.9
Auto15.3
Teleop83.2
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed