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Red102
3745123.0
3723107.9
4531138.2
Blue359
4656134.7
4239142.3
5998116.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300285150200250350400450102359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4531
#19
138.26.3
131.4137.8
Auto17.4
Teleop103.0
End17.5
blue by 4.2
142.30.2
137.6137.8
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End15.4
Second
3745
#33
123.03.3
119.2122.5
Auto18.2
Teleop93.8
End10.6
blue by 11.7
4656
#32
134.72.0
125.1127.1
Auto15.5
Teleop101.3
End21.0
Third
3723
#51
107.91.0
116.3117.3
Auto13.1
Teleop85.3
End4.8
blue by 8.8
5998
#26
116.72.9
106.2109.1
Auto17.4
Teleop90.7
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed