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Red350
2227142.0
3926131.6
5434137.2
Blue253
5999129.3
4174150.8
4632121.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305270100150200250350400450350253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.05.0
124.5129.5
Auto17.1
Teleop104.8
End23.0
blue by 8.8
4174
#18
150.86.3
127.1133.5
Auto16.8
Teleop108.8
End28.3
Second
5434
#13
137.20.1
130.7130.6
Auto23.5
Teleop101.9
End9.5
red by 7.9
5999
#22
129.37.2
111.4118.6
Auto16.8
Teleop94.1
End19.9
Third
3926
#11
131.63.3
113.8117.1
Auto16.2
Teleop101.6
End19.9
red by 10.1
4632
#46
121.53.9
109.0112.9
Auto16.6
Teleop91.2
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed