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Red279
6132109.9
4859136.1
2227142.0
Blue280
876167.5
4506118.8
4182119.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833080100200400500279280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.05.7
129.5135.2
Auto17.1
Teleop104.8
End23.0
blue by 25.5
876
#21
167.51.0
169.4168.4
Auto20.6
Teleop126.8
End18.8
Second
4859
#17
136.12.4
128.7131.1
Auto16.7
Teleop105.1
End12.8
red by 16.3
4182
#45
119.74.3
112.2116.5
Auto15.4
Teleop86.2
End20.0
Third
6132
#37
109.90.2
108.9108.7
Auto15.3
Teleop83.2
End15.4
blue by 8.8
4506
#39
118.81.4
122.6121.2
Auto15.5
Teleop92.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed