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Qual 622018 Northern Lights Regional
Red500
6613139.6
3630131.9
681994.3
Blue333
4174150.8
6044124.8
3745123.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290304150200250350400450500500333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6613
#24
139.63.9
131.4→135.2
Auto17.5
Teleop104.6
End16.9
blue by 11.2
4174
#18
150.84.7
133.5→138.2
Auto16.8
Teleop108.8
End28.3
Second
3630
#8
131.92.5
122.5→125.0
Auto16.7
Teleop97.9
End18.7
red by 7.2
6044
#7
124.85.6
111.2→116.8
Auto17.7
Teleop89.1
End18.8
Third
6819
#42
94.31.3
87.5→88.8
Auto15.8
Teleop75.5
End4.4
blue by 28.7
3745
#33
123.00.9
122.5→121.6
Auto18.2
Teleop93.8
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned14%Face the Boss oddsMissed