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Red440
6044124.8
5903140.8
4239142.3
Blue261
2227142.0
5999129.3
4549118.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338270100200300400500440261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.31.2
139.2140.4
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End15.4
red by 0.3
142.01.7
138.2139.9
Auto17.1
Teleop104.8
End23.0
Second
5903
#28
140.81.4
136.7138.2
Auto16.8
Teleop107.8
End15.7
red by 11.6
5999
#22
129.31.0
128.3129.3
Auto16.8
Teleop94.1
End19.9
Third
124.82.0
121.1123.1
Auto17.7
Teleop89.1
End18.8
red by 6.4
4549
#41
118.30.1
118.4118.3
Auto16.2
Teleop85.3
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed