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Red94
670791.9
2181143.3
3267121.2
Blue336
2861119.7
2989121.0
3926131.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26930010015020025035040045094336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2181
#14
143.36.1
133.7139.8
Auto17.5
Teleop105.1
End20.6
red by 11.7
3926
#11
131.64.2
124.7128.9
Auto16.2
Teleop101.6
End19.9
Second
3267
#44
121.20.5
120.8121.2
Auto13.3
Teleop94.4
End11.3
red by 0.2
2989
#12
121.00.6
120.5121.0
Auto16.8
Teleop91.7
End17.5
Third
6707
#55
91.90.9
92.891.9
Auto12.2
Teleop73.8
End5.8
blue by 27.8
2861
#25
119.70.9
118.8119.7
Auto20.0
Teleop88.6
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned