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Red390
6758123.0
4624138.7
4623154.3
Blue161
4656134.7
6613139.6
4226134.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310341100200400500600390161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.36.0
145.1151.1
Auto17.6
Teleop113.4
End24.7
red by 14.7
6613
#24
139.60.4
140.3140.7
Auto17.5
Teleop104.6
End16.9
Second
4624
#20
138.71.0
136.2137.2
Auto14.3
Teleop107.6
End13.5
red by 4.0
4656
#32
134.72.9
131.8134.7
Auto15.5
Teleop101.3
End21.0
Third
6758
#47
123.00.2
123.2123.0
Auto16.4
Teleop93.9
End10.4
blue by 11.4
4226
#27
134.32.4
131.9134.3
Auto14.5
Teleop101.0
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed