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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Lake Superior Regional
Red345
2202155.9
6628143.6
4741118.8
Blue261
5542127.1
6022129.0
3042142.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312349100200400500600345261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#14
155.90.6
153.6→154.2
Auto19.3
Teleop115.0
End22.2
red by 13.5
3042
#29
142.40.9
140.8→141.7
Auto20.1
Teleop106.2
End20.1
Second
6628
#5
143.60.5
141.9→142.3
Auto19.4
Teleop106.5
End18.3
red by 14.6
6022
#6
129.01.1
127.0→128.1
Auto14.7
Teleop98.3
End20.2
Third
4741
#44
118.80.2
118.1→118.3
Auto16.6
Teleop89.8
End14.9
blue by 8.3
5542
#19
127.11.3
124.6→125.9
Auto15.3
Teleop93.5
End19.9