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Red429
4198152.4
2052171.0
2846142.6
Blue286
4607134.4
3100145.1
5464136.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358300100200400500429286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.00.5
169.0169.5
Auto26.7
Teleop122.8
End20.6
red by 25.9
145.10.3
144.4144.8
Auto21.5
Teleop112.7
End11.7
Second
4198
#10
152.40.4
150.8151.2
Auto17.2
Teleop109.8
End25.1
red by 16.1
5464
#16
136.31.0
134.2135.3
Auto14.1
Teleop98.7
End27.3
Third
2846
#34
142.60.8
139.3140.1
Auto18.9
Teleop105.5
End17.7
red by 8.2
4607
#13
134.40.8
132.7133.5
Auto16.1
Teleop105.8
End15.7