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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Lake Superior Regional
Red399
4198152.4
2052171.0
2846142.6
Blue208
2503127.8
2977155.3
4009129.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377287100200500600399208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#2
171.00.3
168.3→168.6
Auto26.7
Teleop122.8
End20.6
red by 15.7
2977
#8
155.31.1
153.2→154.3
Auto17.7
Teleop114.3
End24.4
Second
4198
#10
152.40.3
150.1→150.4
Auto17.2
Teleop109.8
End25.1
red by 22.8
4009
#21
129.60.4
130.3→130.0
Auto18.9
Teleop93.1
End16.1
Third
2846
#34
142.60.8
137.7→138.5
Auto18.9
Teleop105.5
End17.7
red by 14.8
2503
#15
127.81.1
125.8→126.9
Auto17.7
Teleop96.6
End15.3