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Red439
4198152.4
2052171.0
2846142.6
Blue201
2503127.8
2977155.3
4009129.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383283100200500600439201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.00.4
168.6169.0
Auto26.7
Teleop122.8
End20.6
red by 15.7
155.31.0
154.3155.3
Auto17.7
Teleop114.3
End24.4
Second
4198
#10
152.40.4
150.4150.8
Auto17.2
Teleop109.8
End25.1
red by 22.8
4009
#21
129.60.4
130.0129.6
Auto18.9
Teleop93.1
End16.1
Third
2846
#34
142.60.8
138.5139.3
Auto18.9
Teleop105.5
End17.7
red by 14.8
2503
#15
127.80.9
126.9127.8
Auto17.7
Teleop96.6
End15.3