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Red211
5542127.1
6047125.3
4728126.5
Blue309
4480101.5
2202155.9
6628143.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254309100200400500600211309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5542
#19
127.110.1
78.288.4
Auto15.3
Teleop93.5
End19.9
blue by 28.9
2202
#14
155.910.5
102.9113.4
Auto19.3
Teleop115.0
End22.2
Second
4728
#24
126.512.9
88.5101.5
Auto17.9
Teleop94.6
End15.7
blue by 17.1
143.614.2
84.899.0
Auto19.4
Teleop106.5
End18.3
Third
6047
#39
125.30.2
118.6118.7
Auto15.1
Teleop90.8
End20.3
red by 23.8
4480
#45
101.59.4
86.495.8
Auto15.6
Teleop75.8
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed