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Red246
2175138.5
6217136.1
4217105.5
Blue254
3055116.9
4397120.3
6146116.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278282100200400500246254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#42
138.511.8
97.7109.5
Auto20.0
Teleop102.7
End18.2
red by 18.3
4397
#58
120.311.0
92.6103.7
Auto17.7
Teleop87.9
End14.8
Second
136.110.5
87.097.5
Auto17.2
Teleop107.8
End11.9
red by 19.3
3055
#43
116.98.2
95.7103.9
Auto13.9
Teleop86.4
End19.5
Third
4217
#55
105.512.2
75.187.2
Auto12.8
Teleop83.4
End9.5
blue by 10.6
6146
#46
116.110.0
87.797.7
Auto18.6
Teleop87.5
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed