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Qual 162018 Lake Superior Regional
Red341
5464136.3
2499105.4
4607134.4
Blue138
93146.1
4778123.8
374099.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2572970100200400500600341138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5464
#16
136.311.4
88.8→100.3
Auto14.1
Teleop98.7
End27.3
blue by 9.8
93
#7
146.18.8
104.9→113.7
Auto18.4
Teleop111.5
End20.4
Second
4607
#13
134.414.0
86.9→100.9
Auto16.1
Teleop105.8
End15.7
red by 10.6
4778
#53
123.814.2
89.7→103.9
Auto13.8
Teleop99.2
End12.5
Third
2499
#47
105.47.6
81.7→89.4
Auto13.2
Teleop81.2
End10.1
red by 6.1
3740
#61
99.310.0
88.6→98.6
Auto14.9
Teleop81.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed