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Qual 242018 Lake Superior Regional
Red330
7028134.9
6146116.1
6628143.6
Blue264
3100145.1
4166101.8
4215119.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291259100150200350400450500330264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6628
#5
143.610.5
99.0→109.4
Auto19.4
Teleop106.5
End18.3
blue by 1.5
3100
#4
145.110.0
100.1→110.1
Auto21.5
Teleop112.7
End11.7
Second
7028
#41
134.910.8
92.9→103.7
Auto13.7
Teleop97.6
End23.6
red by 15.2
4215
#51
119.74.4
101.5→106.0
Auto17.6
Teleop88.6
End17.4
Third
6146
#46
116.17.1
97.7→104.7
Auto18.6
Teleop87.5
End10.6
red by 14.4
4166
#59
101.83.5
88.8→92.3
Auto13.9
Teleop81.7
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed