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Red146
5143102.0
2846142.6
2538101.7
Blue383
5542127.1
2175138.5
5299128.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2552940100200400500600700146383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2846
#34
142.66.4
107.7114.1
Auto18.9
Teleop105.5
End17.7
red by 4.0
2175
#42
138.57.5
109.5117.0
Auto20.0
Teleop102.7
End18.2
Second
5143
#56
102.08.9
88.697.5
Auto10.6
Teleop82.8
End11.7
blue by 25.9
5299
#12
128.010.4
96.8107.2
Auto15.9
Teleop95.4
End17.2
Third
2538
#36
101.70.1
103.3103.3
Auto16.3
Teleop76.1
End11.9
blue by 25.4
5542
#19
127.17.3
88.495.7
Auto15.3
Teleop93.5
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed