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Red215
6160138.2
3291104.5
374099.3
Blue389
3042142.4
4011142.6
6047125.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2453140100200400500600215389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6160
#18
138.210.4
92.2102.7
Auto17.9
Teleop100.1
End21.6
blue by 4.4
4011
#23
142.611.2
102.0113.2
Auto15.7
Teleop107.8
End22.0
Second
3291
#62
104.56.5
91.497.9
Auto15.0
Teleop81.5
End7.0
blue by 37.9
3042
#29
142.42.8
115.2118.0
Auto20.1
Teleop106.2
End20.1
Third
3740
#61
99.33.4
98.6102.0
Auto14.9
Teleop81.1
End4.4
blue by 26.0
6047
#39
125.30.3
118.7119.1
Auto15.1
Teleop90.8
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed