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Red303
2175138.5
6720117.6
1816129.6
Blue159
4741118.8
6047125.3
3291104.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321263100200400500600303159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#42
138.56.5
117.0123.5
Auto20.0
Teleop102.7
End18.2
red by 13.2
6047
#39
125.30.9
119.1119.9
Auto15.1
Teleop90.8
End20.3
Second
1816
#27
129.63.3
113.5116.8
Auto17.0
Teleop95.3
End17.5
red by 10.8
4741
#44
118.86.6
102.9109.5
Auto16.6
Teleop89.8
End14.9
Third
6720
#22
117.67.6
101.5109.1
Auto15.9
Teleop93.4
End14.2
red by 13.1
3291
#62
104.54.6
97.9102.4
Auto15.0
Teleop81.5
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed