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Qual 332018 Lake Superior Regional
Red325
4238108.4
4230135.6
5542127.1
Blue247
4217105.5
5690147.0
4011142.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273301150200250350400450325247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4230
#32
135.67.3
110.3→117.7
Auto14.9
Teleop101.1
End23.7
blue by 11.4
5690
#31
147.08.6
120.6→129.3
Auto17.5
Teleop106.7
End25.1
Second
5542
#19
127.16.2
95.7→101.9
Auto15.3
Teleop93.5
End19.9
blue by 15.5
4011
#23
142.69.3
113.2→122.5
Auto15.7
Teleop107.8
End22.0
Third
4238
#28
108.46.0
94.7→100.6
Auto12.2
Teleop80.3
End14.2
red by 2.8
4217
#55
105.53.1
94.9→98.1
Auto12.8
Teleop83.4
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed