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Red59
374099.3
5595105.4
4536120.2
Blue398
6160138.2
3294128.0
3276169.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24831810020040050059398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#50
120.22.0
124.2126.2
Auto14.2
Teleop88.1
End21.7
blue by 49.3
169.59.1
116.9126.0
Auto21.6
Teleop124.9
End26.3
Second
5595
#38
105.43.4
91.695.0
Auto17.2
Teleop79.1
End10.9
blue by 32.7
6160
#18
138.27.2
102.7109.9
Auto17.9
Teleop100.1
End21.6
Third
3740
#61
99.32.6
102.0104.5
Auto14.9
Teleop81.1
End4.4
blue by 28.7
3294
#17
128.04.4
108.0112.4
Auto16.3
Teleop91.0
End21.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed