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Red212
3055116.9
6217136.1
5464136.3
Blue388
7028134.9
2977155.3
4198152.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262333100200300400500212388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5464
#16
136.34.6
109.8114.4
Auto14.1
Teleop98.7
End27.3
blue by 19.0
155.36.1
116.1122.2
Auto17.7
Teleop114.3
End24.4
Second
136.15.5
104.1109.7
Auto17.2
Teleop107.8
End11.9
blue by 16.3
4198
#10
152.40.4
143.8144.2
Auto17.2
Teleop109.8
End25.1
Third
3055
#43
116.91.7
109.7111.4
Auto13.9
Teleop86.4
End19.5
blue by 18.0
7028
#41
134.99.2
103.7112.9
Auto13.7
Teleop97.6
End23.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsEarned