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Qual 422018 Lake Superior Regional
Red340
3122115.1
6022129.0
3293141.8
Blue112
4166101.8
4217105.5
6047125.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319224100400500340112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3293
#20
141.85.4
118.0→123.4
Auto14.5
Teleop106.6
End18.0
red by 16.5
6047
#39
125.30.5
119.9→120.4
Auto15.1
Teleop90.8
End20.3
Second
6022
#6
129.04.5
107.4→111.8
Auto14.7
Teleop98.3
End20.2
red by 23.5
4217
#55
105.51.9
98.1→100.0
Auto12.8
Teleop83.4
End9.5
Third
3122
#54
115.13.3
104.3→107.7
Auto17.9
Teleop79.7
End21.4
red by 13.3
4166
#59
101.82.7
92.3→95.0
Auto13.9
Teleop81.7
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed