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Qual 462018 Lake Superior Regional
Red341
4539204.6
4238108.4
4845132.8
Blue202
3082135.7
5464136.3
2175138.5
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356271100200300400500600341202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#1
204.63.0
187.6→190.5
Auto27.4
Teleop148.6
End30.4
red by 66.1
2175
#42
138.54.9
123.5→128.4
Auto20.0
Teleop102.7
End18.2
Second
4845
#25
132.85.0
107.8→112.8
Auto16.7
Teleop98.7
End16.3
blue by 3.5
5464
#16
136.33.0
114.4→117.4
Auto14.1
Teleop98.7
End27.3
Third
4238
#28
108.45.7
100.6→106.3
Auto12.2
Teleop80.3
End14.2
blue by 27.4
3082
#48
135.73.6
124.8→128.4
Auto18.4
Teleop96.6
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed