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Qual 472018 Lake Superior Regional
Red362
4215119.7
3055116.9
2977155.3
Blue281
3276169.5
4230135.6
5348127.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223352100300400500600362281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2977
#8
155.36.1
122.2→128.3
Auto17.7
Teleop114.3
End24.4
blue by 14.2
3276
#3
169.58.8
126.0→134.8
Auto21.6
Teleop124.9
End26.3
Second
4215
#51
119.70.4
109.4→109.8
Auto17.6
Teleop88.6
End17.4
blue by 15.9
4230
#32
135.66.6
117.7→124.3
Auto14.9
Teleop101.1
End23.7
Third
3055
#43
116.91.1
111.4→112.5
Auto13.9
Teleop86.4
End19.5
blue by 11.0
5348
#26
127.95.6
109.9→115.5
Auto17.2
Teleop95.5
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed